Middle East Conflict Grounds Flights, Cuts Global Air Cargo Capacity by 22%

Boeing 777-FDZ A7-BFL Qatar Airways Cargo

Aviation News – Escalating Middle East conflict has disrupted global logistics, grounding flights across key regional hubs and sharply reducing global air cargo capacity, with analysts warning of rising freight rates and delayed shipments worldwide.

The ongoing U.S. and Israeli air campaign against Iran has forced widespread flight suspensions across the Middle East, including major cargo hubs in Doha and Dubai. Aviation and logistics consultancy Aevean estimates the disruption has reduced global air cargo capacity by about 22%, highlighting the critical role Middle Eastern carriers play in international supply chains. Airlines from the region account for roughly 13% of the global air cargo market, and the sudden halt of flights has caused immediate ripple effects across global trade networks.

Air freight carries around one-third of global trade by value, according to the International Air Transport Association, making the sector vital for high-value and time-sensitive shipments. Goods typically transported include electronics, pharmaceuticals, fresh produce, and aircraft parts, which are often loaded in passenger aircraft belly holds as well as on dedicated cargo freighters.

“This is an absolute halt of the supply chain to the Middle East,” said Abdol Moaberry, CEO of Florida-based aviation services company GA Telesis, which supplies aircraft parts and maintenance support to airlines worldwide.

Industry analysts expect the disruption to push air freight spot rates higher, particularly on key Asia–Europe cargo routes, as airlines reroute aircraft, avoid conflict zones, and attempt to compensate for the sudden loss of capacity across the region.

The situation underscores the vulnerability of global supply chains to geopolitical crises. If flight suspensions continue, airlines and logistics companies may increasingly rely on longer alternative routes or shift shipments to sea and land transport, potentially slowing delivery times and increasing costs.

For the global aviation industry, the disruption highlights the strategic importance of Middle Eastern cargo hubs in connecting Asia, Europe, and Africa. While carriers are adjusting operations where possible, prolonged instability could reshape air cargo networks and pricing across international trade routes in the months ahead.

Photo Rob Vogelaar