EUROPEAN AIRLINES LOOK BACK ON A TURBULENT 2010

Ash, snow and strikes combine to hold back market recovery

 

 

 

The Association of European Airlines, which represents Europe’s most important

 

network carriers, has revealed a preliminary traffic estimate for 2010 of 335 million passengers boarded by its members, ten million more than in 2009. Using the industry standard measure of passenger-kilometres, this represented a 2.5% increase over the previous year.

The figures are based on monthly returns of AEA’s members’ traffic up to November,

 

and weekly reports for the last month of the year. The data is available from the Research & Statistics section of the The figures were of course severely distorted by the effects of external shocks, most notably the airspace closures associated with the Icelandic volcanic eruptions in April and May, but also the unprecedented disruptions at airports caused by the snowfalls of late November and December.

The year was also notable for the frequency and intensity of industrial action which affected flight operations, very often as a response to national austerity measures linked with the recession and its aftershocks, particularly in the Eurozone.Figures produced by Eurocontrol estimate that 160,000 flights within Europe were cancelled during 2010. 100,000 of these were attributed to the volcanic eruption.

 

 

but the remaining 60,000 represented an 150% increase over the previous year’s

level of cancellations. With so many disturbances affecting traffic trends, it is difficult to obtain a clear picture of the state of the market, but there was sufficient evidence from individual monthly figures to suggest an underlying growth trend, as the year progressed, in the range 5%-

 

 

6% above the previous year’s depressed level.

It is clear that during the first part of the year traffic losses of 2009 were not being recovered, and while genuine growth was reestablished in the second half, the recovery remained extremely weak. The resilience shown by the market in bouncing back after 9/11 and again after Gulf War 2 and SARS has so far not been in evidence.

Source: AEA
Photo: Rob Vogelaar, ZAPP